No Convention Bump? What a Surprise...

We predicted that the Democrats would come out of the convention with a solid 15% lead IF they nominated ANYONE but Kerry. Because they didn't have the courage to face the fact that Kerry had failed to establish a viable strategic position, they have virtually doomed themselves to defeat. Their almost historic lack of a post-convention "bump" is merely evidence of the fact. Events could still change the course of the election and create an opening the Kerry can use to advance his position, but after the Republican convention, when Bush gets the bump that Kerry didn't get, it will start to become clear even to the heavily Democratic press, that Bush is solidly in the lead and has been all along.