The test of our understanding of climate and the effect of our decisions is our predictions. With that in mind, I refer you all to the great series at Innocent Bystanders comparing current unemployment to the government's predictions. The relevant chart is below. The light blue line is the prediction of unemployment without the bailout, the dark blue line was the justification for the bailout:

User bernd.schwieren asks:

Gary, in a political competition, how would you define ground and climate?

The ground is where you fight and what you fight for. It is the source of all resources. In an election, this means that it the support of the electorate (financial and otherwise) and, in the end, their votes. As Sun Tzu said, the ground can be divided in an infinite number of ways and Sun Tzu's strategy is probably 80% about ways of finding leverage on the ground.

This article in PajamaMedia immediately caught by eye because Sun Tzu's strategy teaches that the best way to get a good perspective on change is through "young eyes" (S-RULE 2.4.2). In examining the problems of technology from the perspective of preteen kids in Silicon Valley, we can see the future's opportunities (S-RULE 3.2.3).

Last week our Today's Article on Warrior's Rules (TAOSR) program explained the principles regarding the defense and exploitation of environmental vulnerabilities. The basis principle is that we must know how to defend against the five kinds of challenges that these vulnerabilities create (S-RULE 9.4), specifically the rule about avoiding an over-reaction (S-RULE 9.4.2).

In this article about big-pharm from The Atlantic (via Instapundit), we have a great explanation of how large organizations are handicapped in pursuing new opportunities (S-RULE 3.4).