Personal

Intentional Misinformation

To continue on the topic of misdiagnosing positions, Sun Tzu makes a central issue of never factoring out the purposeful deception of others. You always have to ask yourself about people's motives for offering the information they do. For example, an very interesting financial blog, carfutia.com, uses the MSM news as a contra-indicator of market direction. When the media's business coverage is primarily negative, the market is going up but when it turns positive, it is time to sell.

The Expert Performance Movement

Sun Tzu taught that the art of war was a skill, by which he meant that it wasn't innate. You have to learn to strategy through training. The new "Expert Performance Movement," which studies what those who excel have in common no matter what field they work in. They come to a interesting conclusion.
Deliberate practice entails more than simply repeating a task... Rather, it involves setting specific goals, obtaining immediate feedback and concentrating as much on technique as on outcome.

On-Going Progress or Coming Apocalypse?

One gets a certain perspective from studying ancient wisdom. If nothing else, you learn how little the human beast has changed, especially in our continual over reaction to everything. As I get older, being cursed with a good memory, every new media panic seems to me more and more like a boring repeat. This article by the recovering apocaholic, Gary Alexander, may give younger readers a little perspective.

The Perfect Society, Danger, and Discovery

Perhaps there has never been revealing future than the one envisioned by Aldous Huxley in his book Brave New World written seventy-five years ago (described in this New Atlantis article). In it, Huxley describes a world where the only goal of society is the perfect happiness of its citizens. However, in reading his description of that society, we are left with a feeling of horror, emptiness, and dread.

Tit for Tat Revisited

It is interesting how the forces of climate gets people thinking along similar lines. I recently wrote a post on the strategy of Tit-for-Tat (hey, I just noticed that I have done over a thousand blog posts, tit-for-tat was 1007). As a coincidence, I noticed that another blog, Eject, Eject, Eject, just did a much more detailed post on this as well, connecting tit-for-tat in lots of ways societies that succeed and those that fail.

Seeing Into Others' Minds

What makes a competition strategic? In ALL strategic competitions (as opposed to those of pure luck or pure skill), the success of your move depends upon correctly predicting the moves of others. In the special case of predicting opponents, this understanding leads potentially to an infinite loop. Both you and your opponents both try to "outguess" each other, but that thinking leads down the rabbit hole. Each level of "he knows that I know" leads to you reversing your decision. You think that he thinks that you think that he thinks that you think...ad infinitum.

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