People seem confused about what Ted Cruz is trying to accomplish with his filibuster. The apparent goal of the current battle, defunding Obamacare, seems impossible to attain. Too many think that this means that the battle should not be fought. This lack of understanding arises from a basic misconception about the goals of good strategy, which are not always simply "winning."
How do we elect such poor decision-makers to office? As anyone who studies our warrior's rules at this site knows, politicians are our most fertile source of examples of defective strategy. This fact raises the question: how do these people get elected to office in the first place?
The discontent of Iran's population under the rule of the mullahs is an opportunity that the US has overlooked for too long. Secretary of State Clinton took her first tentative steps into that opening by attacking Iran's treatment of protesters. This is a very good sign of a real change in the current administrations view of Iran.
The Commerce department has again corrected the numbers for 3rd Quarter "growth." Originally announced at 3.5%, downgraded to 2.8% a month later, and now corrected again at 2.2% this week. Of course those numbers were originally inflated by the Cash for Clunkers program, which moved car sales into that quarter.
Iran's seizure of an Iraqi oil well is a classical strategic probe. Iran is telling us that they think they see an opportunity now that Obama is president but they are uncertain of how big it is. A small test is required to test their boundaries and our resolve.
If this administration seems particularly clueless, there is a reason. Less than 10% of Obama's Cabinet have any experience in the public sector. This is by far the lowest of any Cabinet in history where the averages has been around 40%. Without private sector experience, cabinet members lack any feel for competitive environments and how they work (see chart, via Nick Schulz's article in The American).
We can lose track of our mission during a campaign. As tens of thousands rally against it (picture from Instapundit), the current health care bill is a good example both as a matter of policy and politics. Quoting John Fund in the Wall Street Journal:
Strategy teaches that creating conflict is too costly to make long-term strategic success possible ([node:content/313-conflict-cost link]). We can see the dimensions of this problem in battle created in the current health care bill (aka Obamacare). If the health care bill "wins" this battle, the most likely losers in the next election are those supporting it. In this battle, we can see all the distorting aspects of conflict:
"They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety." Benjamin Franklin
Feel free to replace the word "safety" with anything else that politicians pretend that they can offer in exchange for your freedom: medical care, housing, environment protection, jobs, funds for your pet project, and so on.
"Why, sometimes I've believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast." The Red Queen, Through the Looking Glass, Lewis Carroll
“[W]ith essentially complex phenomena, the aspects of the events to be accounted for about which we can get quantitative data are necessarily limited and may not include the important ones.” F.A. Hayek said, accepting the 1974 Nobel Prize in economics