Boxing, war, and modern business... what do these three activities have in common? The obvious answer is that all three take place in competitive environments in which there will be clear winners. Sun Tzu's treatise "The Art of War" not only describes these environments, but also asserts a way to win and analytical method to predict a winner. Once one understands these predictable outcomes, then positioning oneself to be the winner becomes easy.
"Why, sometimes I've believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast." The Red Queen, Through the Looking Glass, Lewis Carroll
“[W]ith essentially complex phenomena, the aspects of the events to be accounted for about which we can get quantitative data are necessarily limited and may not include the important ones.” F.A. Hayek said, accepting the 1974 Nobel Prize in economics