Yesterday's State of the Union address clearly demonstrates one of the most basic, non-intuitive aspects of Sun Tzu's Warrior's Rules: that small moves are more powerful than larger ones ([node:content/strategic-principle-day-55-small-steps-are-more-certain-and-powerful link]). After President Obama spoke for 70 minutes on a wide variety of issue, what most people are talking about today is the two second response by Justice Alioto, shaking his head and mouthing "Not true."
Iran's seizure of an Iraqi oil well is a classical strategic probe. Iran is telling us that they think they see an opportunity now that Obama is president but they are uncertain of how big it is. A small test is required to test their boundaries and our resolve.